Author: nick

A “ceasefire” that still includes ships getting shot at isn’t a ceasefire, it’s a pressure campaign with a short fuse. Kyle sits down with Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski to make sense of the newest swings in the Iran conflict, from limited strikes and fast Iranian responses to the bigger question nobody wants to answer: what is the actual endgame, and who is paying the price while leaders posture? We dig into the details of the so-called U.S. blockade and why it’s morphing into something far more dangerous. Karen explains how the mission shifts from lawful interdiction to standoff attacks, why…

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Social media users are casting doubt and causing confusion about the hantavirus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, saying that one of the passengers is a “crisis actor.” Their posts are focused on Jake Rosmarin, a Boston-based travel content creator who is now quarantining at the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha. “They’re really working it with these crisis actors,” said a May 6 X post that shared a video of an emotional Rosmarin describing his experience aboard the ship. Another X post said he “was certainly handpicked for this Honduis-Hanta-CryBaby role” because Rosmarin’s related to people who…

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I’m very happy to post a draft of a new article, “Popular Conceptions of Fourth Amendment Curtilage,” written together with my co-author Matthew Kugler, forthcoming in the Michigan Law Review. The article picks up an idea I first pondered here at the Volokh Conspiracy back in 2018. The Supreme Court interprets the Fourth Amendment to extend the privacy of the home beyond the home’s walls to an outside space it calls “curtilage,” and it insists that what counts as curtilage, and the implied license to enter it, is intuitive and widely known. But is it? What do ordinary people really…

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A new report from Bitget and Polymarket reveals that prediction markets are evolving into a $240 billion industry driven by retail users who are trading more frequently on everything from crypto to politics. What to know: Prediction markets are shifting from occasional, event-driven bets to continuous platforms built around frequent, smaller trades by retail users. Polymarket’s monthly trading volume has surged from about $1.2 billion in 2025 to more than $20 billion in early 2026, with active wallets more than tripling in six months. As crypto-focused users branch into markets tied to real-world events, prediction prices are increasingly used alongside…

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Earlier this week, I did a talk at Unitelma Sapienza University in Rome on “Threats to Liberal Democracy in the United States – And How to Counter Them.”  The talk was followed by commentary from three Italian scholars: Prof. Carla Bassu (University of Sassari), Prof. Giovanna Tieghi (University of Padua), and Prof. Andrea Fiorentino (Unitelma Sapienza), and my response. Prof. Pier Luigi Petrillo (Unitelma Sapienza) moderated. I also did an interview on related topics for Unitelma Sapienza’s “Leaders’ Talk” program. The interview was conducted by  Prof. Petrillo and Prof. Fiorentino. The talk and the interview covered a lot of ground, including…

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Iranian forces boarded a ship near the UAE. The vessel potentially contained a cache of weapons.  On Thursday, armed men boarded a ship near the United Arab Emirates, and it sailed to Iranian waters. The vessel has been identified as the Honduras-flagged Hui Chuan. The BBC reports that the ship was being used as a weapons cache to arm commercial ships to fend off piracy.  Attacks on ships in the Middle East have increased in recent weeks. President Donald Trump declared a blockade on Iranian ports, and the US has attacked several vessels. Iran has responded with attacks on tankers…

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The House of Representatives voted down a war powers resolution Thursday put forward by Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) that would have required President Donald Trump to seek authorization from Congress to continue the Iran War. Subscribe Today Get daily emails in your inbox Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA), and Rep. Tom Barrett (R-MI) voted for the resolution while Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME) was the only Democrat to vote against it. The final vote count was 212–212. The war powers vote in the House follows another unsuccessful attempt in the Senate, which failed Wednesday by a…

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